Alberta’s COVID-19 case numbers fastest growing in Canada

As I was reviewing the data earlier today regarding COVID-19 infections in Alberta, I was curious about what the situation was like in the other provinces.

Here’s what I found.

First, there were hardly any cases in the four Atlantic provinces, so I’m not reporting on them. This article focuses on the 6 provinces between and including BC and Québec.

The active case count in Alberta started increasing again on 15 July, so that’s going to be my starting point, and the numbers below will be for the 12 days between then and the 27th.

This first chart shows where each of the 6 provinces were on the 14th (the lowest the cases have been in Alberta this month) and where they were as of yesterday’s reporting.

We see that 4 of the 6 provinces have seen a net increase in active cases during this 12-day period. To be fair, Saskatchewan’s increase is negligible. Only Ontario and Manitoba have seen their active case counts decrease. A

And I should point out that, as of yesterday, Ontario had a higher active case count than Alberta and Manitoba had a higher per capita active case count than Alberta. Except both Ontario and Manitoba are seeing their numbers drop, while Alberta’s cases are increasing.

Here’s the total net change in active numbers for each province.

Not only has Alberta’s active case count increased, it’s increased the most in terms of even raw numbers. Keep in mind that it has only the fourth largest population, yet its active case counts has increase more than any other province.

Let’s look at the increase relative to the starting point.

Alberta wins again!

Active cases in Alberta have risen more than any other province both in terms of raw numbers and as a percentage. In fact, Alberta’s numbers have more than doubled.

This next chart shows the average increase in active cases per day for each province.

Over the last 12 days, Alberta has seen the highest average increase per day, 4 times faster than the next highest province.

And here it is as a percentage.

As a percentage, Alberta’s daily increase in active case count has averaged a little over 6%, nearly triple that of BC, the next highest province.

And the final map, the average daily increase over just the last 7 days:

When we take out the first 5 days, the average daily increase ends up being 10.11%, up from 6.01%.

No matter how you look at it, Alberta’s cases are climbing faster than anywhere else in Canada.