Recently, I wrote a news story about the number of registered physicians in Alberta.
I decided to go through the physician registrations from the College of Physicians and Surgeons of Alberta to see what information I could find about doctors in the Lethbridge region specifically, rather than the province as a whole.
Below is the number of registrations for each quarter since 2016, as well as the quarter-over-quarter percent change.
| Quarter | Registrations | % change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q3 | 317 | 1.93% |
| 2025 Q2 | 311 | 0.65% |
| 2025 Q1 | 309 | -0.32% |
| 2024 Q4 | 310 | -0.96% |
| 2024 Q3 | 313 | 2.29% |
| 2024 Q2 | 306 | 0.99% |
| 2024 Q1 | 303 | 1.00% |
| 2023 Q4 | 300 | 3.09% |
| 2023 Q3 | 291 | 4.30% |
| 2023 Q2 | 279 | 1.45% |
| 2023 Q1 | 275 | -1.08% |
| 2022 Q4 | 278 | 1.46% |
| 2022 Q3 | 274 | -1.44% |
| 2022 Q2 | 278 | 0.72% |
| 2022 Q1 | 276 | -4.50% |
| 2021 Q4 | 289 | -2.69% |
| 2021 Q3 | 297 | 1.71% |
| 2021 Q2 | 292 | -0.34% |
| 2021 Q1 | 293 | -2.98% |
| 2020 Q4 | 302 | -2.58% |
| 2020 Q3 | 310 | 5.44% |
| 2020 Q2 | 294 | 1.03% |
| 2020 Q1 | 291 | -7.91% |
| 2019 Q4 | 316 | 2.60% |
| 2019 Q3 | 308 | 4.76% |
| 2019 Q2 | 294 | 1.03% |
| 2019 Q1 | 291 | -0.34% |
| 2018 Q4 | 292 | 2.46% |
| 2018 Q3 | 285 | 1.42% |
| 2018 Q2 | 281 | 1.81% |
| 2018 Q1 | 276 | -2.13% |
| 2017 Q4 | 282 | -1.05% |
| 2017 Q3 | 285 | 4.01% |
| 2017 Q2 | 274 | 0.74% |
| 2017 Q1 | 272 | 0.74% |
| 2016 Q4 | 270 | 1.12% |
| 2016 Q3 | 267 | 2.30% |
| 2016 Q2 | 261 | 0.38% |
| 2016 Q1 | 260 | -0.01% |
Here it is in graph form.
First, the total number of registrations.
We see that, more or less, physician registrations in Lethbridge had been rising for about 4 years, hitting their peak in the final quarter of 2019. Over the next 2 years or so, however, the numbers had been dropping. There was a bit of a surge during the start of the pandemic, but the next 10 quarters completely wiped out those gains.
The decline stopped in 2022, after physician registrations were at some of their lowest levels since the 2nd quarter of 2017, when they were at 274. During 2022, registrations hovered around the 276 mark, varying between only 274 and 278.
While registrations stopped declining in 2022, they didn’t rebound either, plateauing for the entire year until finally starting to rise in the second quarter of last year. They’ve been on the rise ever since, other a brief drop at the end of last year and start of this year.
And while it’s definitely good news that we have more doctors today than we had two years ago, we must view this increase in context.
At the end of 2019, registrations had peaked at 316. That means, that even with an net increase of 126 doctors over the last 11 quarters, we’re still only ahead by just 1 physician registration.
Keep in mind that the population of Lethbridge has also increased during that time, which means that not only do we have fewer registered physicians, but the ones we do have are having to serve more people.
According to the Government of Alberta, the City of Lethbridge reported a population of 100,761 in July 2019. That means 1 doctor for every 342.72 people.
By comparison, there were 111,400 people living in Lethbridge by July 2024. The ratio of physicians to people had jumped to 1 for every 364.05 people.
In other words, each doctor is theoretically responsible for an extra 22 people. And that’s not counting anyone from outside Lethbridge coming into the city to see a doctor.
Plus, it’s assuming no more people moved here in the 15 months that followed the most recent data.
Even if we add in the 5 more doctors we gained since last June, the ratio would be 1 doctor for every 351.42 people, still higher than what it was at its peak in 2019.
Next, the % change from quarter to quarter.
Looking at the data this way shows us some interesting information.
First, of the 25 quarters that the UCP government have been in power, 10 of them had negative growth. Not only that, but 5 of them were larger decreases than the other 4 periods of decreases in the previous 3 years.
In fact, in the first quarter of 2020—the start of the COVID-19 pandemic—Lethbridge saw its largest single decrease in physician registrations during this 9-year period.
Lethbridge lost 25 physician registrations as the pandemic was starting. That’s 1 in 13 physicians.
If we add all the increases and decreases since the UCP took office, we see a net increase of 9.66% in Lethbridge, which works out to a gain of just 1 registration every quarters, on average.
Let’s compare the third quarter of 2025 with previous third quarters.
The third quarter of 2025 saw the second smallest quarter-over-quarter increase in the number of registered physicians of the 10 most recent third quarters.
For the 7 third quarters that the UCP have been in power, we’ve had 2 decreases, 4 increases, and 1 unchanged. We have seen an average third quarter change in physician registrations for Lethbridge of 2.05% since 2016, but it’s been just 1.69% for the third quarters under the UCP.
So, while it’s great we saw an increase last quarter, we’re still not where we need to be.
Keep in mind that College of Physicians and Surgeons of Alberta doesn’t break down the area of speciality of the physician registrations at the municipality level.
That means the 4 new registrations that took place in Lethbridge over the last year may have been family physicians, but they may have also been all specialists.
